Chapter 729

On the flying goose mountain, he Xie frowned and hung up the phone and said to Chen Guozhong, "this number doesn't work. Wang Bao is very cautious."

He Xie not only called Wang Bao's number, but also his ah Jie and his wife, as well as the mobile phones of his other confidants. Without exception, they couldn't get through.

He Xie originally wanted to judge the location of Wang Bao according to the subtle sound at the other end of the phone, but now this idea has failed.

"What about that?" Chen Jiaju said anxiously, "Uncle Da, can you find him like looking for Serena?"

He Xie shook his head: "it's different. We know nothing about how Wang Bao left Hong Kong Island and where he wants to go. We can't meet the specific conditions of Manhattan metrology."

"Did you just let him run away?" Li Ying asked reluctantly.

"That's not necessarily true." He Xie smiled, "if a little Wang Bao runs away under my eyes, I won't live at all!"

Although these words are understated, they contain incomparable certainty, which immediately makes everyone's confidence picked up again.

"Wang Bao's running is nothing more than three ways, sea, land and air." He Xie said faintly, "these three ways are possible, and Wang Bao is very careful, and he is likely to use our habitual thinking and logical blind spot, so we can't directly eliminate any of them. Naturally, we can't directly and accurately locate him. Now there is only one way, that is, we can only combine his character, developments More than a dozen factors affecting his decision, such as realistic conditions and risks, use Bayes formula to calculate the path he chooses with maximum probability. "

The four policemen were stunned and looked at each other. They all found the embarrassment on each other's faces.

"Er... Uncle Da, I mean, can you directly say the conclusion?" Ma Jun smiled.

He Xie smiled: "that means we have to bet. According to time, we are allowed to guess wrong twice. Paper, pen. "

Chen Guozhong immediately took out the police book and ballpoint pen from his pocket and handed it to He Xie.

Then, like reading the book of heaven, they saw he Xie list formulas and write letters and numbers they didn't understand at all.

He Xie wrote four pages, which took less than two minutes.

"What's the result?" As soon as he Xie stopped writing, Chen Guozhong couldn't wait to ask.

"The probability of land route is 7%, the probability of sea route is 46%, and the probability of air route is 31%. There is another possibility that he will hide, and the probability is 16%." he evil way, "the probability of land route is the smallest, so we can directly eliminate it first. For the remaining three possibilities, let's check the air route first!"

"The sea route has the greatest probability. Shouldn't we check the sea route first?" Li Ying asked puzzled.

"Is the ship fast or the plane fast?" He Xie looked at him, "check the plane first, and we can check the ship again, but if you check the ship first, there will be absolutely no time to check the plane!"

Li Ying pursed his mouth and nodded.

"But it can also be done at the same time." He Xie added.

"..." Li Ying looked at He Xie.

He Xie then said, "let's assume that he runs by plane. He has three choices: one is to pack a private plane, the other is to leave the country by passenger plane with a fake passport, and the third is to go to sea by helicopter and then turn to ship."

Speaking of this, he Xie paused and asked Chen Guozhong, "does Wang Bao have a voyage record in the past three years?"

Chen Guozhong was stunned and immediately said, "that's too much. He has been to many places in the past three years. He..."

He Xie stretched out his hand to stop him: "since he doesn't reject flying, people like Wang Bao must have a private plane, right?"

"Yes!" Chen Guozhong nodded.

"Then I guess his private plane must have just taken off. Call now to confirm." What evil way.

After thinking for a while, he added, "check his wife's immigration records immediately, and check all flight records and helicopter takeoff records on Hong Kong Island within half an hour."

"I'll do it now." Chen Guozhong immediately walked aside.

While talking, the police helicopter just arranged by Chen Guozhong arrived.

After Chen Guozhong called to verify the situation, the three also got on the plane.

He Xie quickly drew a map of Hong Kong Island while listening to Chen Guozhong's report.

"Uncle Da, you're right!" Chen Guozhong said loudly, "his private plane has taken off, and the destination is the lighthouse. Someone saw Wang Bao get on the plane with his own eyes, and his wife went to the lighthouse yesterday."

"That's not him." Before the four of them were desperate, he Xie said faintly, "you should remember that Wang Bao is not avoiding the pursuit of Hong Kong Island police, but trying to escape from me."

If you just want to escape the pursuit of the police, Wang Bao can just leave Hong Kong Island. At that time, the police didn't have the power to enforce the law. They just sent vegetables, and asked for Interpol assistance, which also requires a lot of procedures. People like Wang Bao can deal with it calmly.

But if he wants to completely get rid of He Xie's "magic hand", he must completely hide his whereabouts.

Therefore, he Xie dares to conclude that the whereabouts easily found by the police are definitely Wang Bao's cover.

Although it is not ruled out that Wang Bao makes use of He Xie's blind thinking area, combined with Wang Bao's character, this probability is negligible, and it is too easy for him to leave traces and be traced by He Xie.

"The flight records and helicopter takeoff records within half an hour are being checked. It will take five minutes at the fastest." Chen Guozhong added.

He Xie circled a few circles on the drawn map while pointing to one of the circles and said quickly, "then narrow the scope of investigation and check the helicopter takeoff records in this area. Note that Wang Bao may not be filed with the air traffic control bureau."

"In addition, the flight record will be shortened to within 18 minutes, and then all port flights will be excluded!"

"OK, I'll do it now!" Chen Guozhong immediately took orders.

"You three, check these seven docks and all ships leaving the sea within 20 minutes." He Xie ordered again.

"There are three abandoned docks..." Chen Jiaju frowned.

"Check!" He Xie is short and powerful.

The three stopped talking and hurriedly called each other to launch their own investigation.

At this time, the helicopter is flying towards Kai Tak Airport.

Three minutes later, Chen Guozhong had the result: "in 18 minutes, five planes took off from Kai Tak Airport, one from New York to Bangkok via Hong Kong Island, one from Tokyo to Tehran via Hong Kong Island, and the rest took off from Hong Kong Island, one to Colombia, one to Los Angeles and one to Paris."

While Chen Guozhong was talking, the nib under He Xie's hand was jumping like flying. When Chen Guozhong finished speaking, he Xie quickly said, "contact the ground crew of the five aircraft that have been checked by the airport security, including the VIP channel and runway duty staff, tell them Wang Bao's physical characteristics and ask them if they have seen him."