"First of all, I think that even if the real estate soars in the next few years, our real estate in China will not collapse like RB." Xiao Qi said, "because China is different from Rb, we have been paying attention to 'home, country and world' since ancient times. A large part of this' home 'is to have their own homes. Therefore, the Chinese people's love for land and houses far exceeds that of any other country in the world. As long as most people still want to own their own houses and pass them on to their children, the real estate market will not burst. "
Niu ruzheng nodded noncommittally, "continue."
"But does this mean that we let real estate develop and push up house prices, so that local governments can benefit and the country can boost the total economy... That's a good thing?" Xiao Qi said word by word: "people with such ideas are extremely wrong. Our real estate will not repeat the mistakes of Rb, but if real estate kidnaps the national economy, the harm will be more serious than the real estate collapse, and we will become ten times and 100 times worse than RB! "
Niu Ru was taking a cold breath, "Xiao Qi, are you alarmist? Although the RB economy has collapsed for almost ten years due to the collapse of the real estate bubble, it is also developing well. "
"RB is Rb, and China is China." Xiao Qi shook his head and said, "there are some things RB can stand, but China can't bear."
"Make it clear." Niu ruzheng became interested and looked more dignified.
"The real estate bubble of RB comes from the influx of countless hot money. From a superficial perspective, it is almost the same as that of China, but in fact it is fundamentally different." Xiao Qi talked with assurance, "part of Rb's hot money comes from foreign speculators, and the other part comes from bank loans. China's hot money is inevitable for international speculators and bank loans, but there is one more item than Rb, which is the basis of China's economy: small and medium-sized entrepreneurs will certainly put their money used for production, equipment and raw materials into real estate when real estate is booming... So they don't do their business, It will bring about the collapse of a large number of industrial basic enterprises in China, which will completely lead to the hollowing out of China's economy and bring great harm to economic development. "
"Would they really do that? Isn't this breaking your foundation? " Niu ruzheng doesn't believe in Tao.
"On the one hand, we have to work hard in industry, with a gross profit margin of 5% to 10%, and have to bear the risk of declining profits due to the rising exchange rate, as well as the pressure of rising production costs such as raw materials... On the other hand, if we invest in real estate and simply subcontract to construction companies, we can make 30% to 100% ultra-high profits without you having to worry about it, What are they willing to do compared with the two businesses? "
Niu ruzheng was silent.
He knows too well about the entrepreneurs in China, and it is really possible to do as Xiao Qi said.
After thinking for half a day, he said, "why don't RB entrepreneurs do that?"
"Facts have proved that they didn't do so." Xiao Qi's right path: "SONY, Panasonic, TOYOTA, Toshiba and so on are all just using the bank's money to speculate in stocks, and at the same time, their technological reserves, production R & D, and global layout have not stopped at all. So even though the real estate bubble has collapsed, they have lost too much money, but their skeleton is still there. It can continue to develop... So now we can see that Sony is still Sony and Panasonic is still Panasonic. They will not collapse as a whole because of the huge loss of additional business. This is the difference between respectable enterprises and ordinary enterprises. "
Niu ruzheng nodded repeatedly. Until this time, he really felt that it was a wise decision to talk to Xiao Qi.
At least he has never heard of Xiao Qi's words, and they are so straightforward and in-depth, quite incisive and subtle.
"If real estate is liberalized, what do you think will happen next?" After silence, Niu ruzheng asked.
"The more money local finance gets from land sales, the more real estate can develop and grow. Later, it causes local finance to rely heavily on real estate, which kidnaps local finance and makes local finance have to support their development. Therefore, it attracts more people to invest in the profitable industry of real estate." Xiao Qi said solemnly, "it's not terrible for any hot money to flow into real estate. The most terrible thing is that our entrepreneurs have abandoned their industrial system and their factories that have worked hard for decades, hoping to get rich by virtual economy! No country in the world has not grown up by relying on its strong industrial strength. It has never been heard that a country developed with real estate will really be in the forest of world powers! "
Xiao Qi's words, like morning bells and evening drums, sounded in Niu ruzheng's ears.
A country can get rich with finance, but it can never build a country with finance.
Only with a strong industrial foundation can we create the products we need, play an important role in the development of national x scientific research, and establish a backbone to support national development. This is absolutely impossible to change!
From the actual situation of the rapid rise of real estate, we can see that Xiao Qi is enough to be a national think tank!
Niu ruzheng, who appreciated the youth in front of him more and more, felt that it was not enough. Although Xiao Qi's talent had enough demons, he felt that this was not Xiao Qi's greatest strength.
At least he thought that if Xiao Qi could see so far, he should have his own countermeasures.
Being able to see far is a national think tank, but if you can see a doctor and apply the right medicine to the case, you can be called a pillar of the country!
So Niu ruzheng asked, "if you are asked to formulate countermeasures to prevent real estate kidnapping, local economy and industrial hollowing out, what are you going to do?"
"I don't know!"
To Niu ruzheng's surprise, Xiao Qi simply refused.
"You boy, you are still clumsy with Uncle Niu?" After Niu Ru was stunned, he pointed to him and said with a smile: "speak quickly! Not as tempting as you! "
"I really don't know. It's my limit that I can analyze these, but I'm not in charge of the economic power. Of course, I haven't studied it in depth, so I can't say more." Xiao Qi shrugged and said, "the introduction of any national policy is a very cautious thing. How dare I think about affecting the country's economic trend?"