The next morning, Zhang Yuan started the normal work of the day with a black eye. Anyway, the earth civilization is in jubilation, and life should continue.

"Why, did you lose sleep yesterday? I stayed up late to read it. "

"Yes, elder martial brother, you won." Zhang Yuan smiled.

"It has nothing to do with me... New civilization history won."

Maybe it's because at this moment, it's too far from the earth; Perhaps it is because under the baptism of time, the earth civilization has become very strange. Everyone's mood is not so low, which is equivalent to watching an unusually astringent film.

However, the click through rate of relevant papers on the history of new civilization has increased more than 1000 times in these hundreds of years, including Zhang Yuan's new papers, and there are also many comments!

Whether they understand it or not, people try to find a way to solve it from this new discipline.

Unfortunately, so far, the history of new civilization is just a complex network model, and all kinds of calculations are extremely abstract. Usually people can't understand it at all, but just watch the excitement.

Only Zhang Yuan, who is proficient in mathematics, has a certain voice.

In particular, transforming a historical node into a series of chaotic functions involves many complex calculations. Some things, after calculating a number, even Zhang Yuan himself can't figure out what this number means.

"Now that we have the historical reference data of earth civilization, we can continue to improve this discipline. But the sample data is not enough... It's only five or six hundred years. " Zhang Yuan carefully read the current research progress.

He suddenly said, "I think the earth civilization has not reached the worst situation, and it is still possible to break free from the trough."

"Yes!" Elder martial brother Zhao said, "it's just a cold war. There is a small probability of jumping out of the trough, but a higher probability becomes worse. Regardless of calculation, from a political point of view, do you think there is any way to get the whole civilization out of its current dilemma? "

According to the old historical experience, such a cold war will continue, similar to the original US Soviet hegemony, until one side's economy completely collapses and one side eats away at the other.

Of course, it is also possible that before the collapse, one party put all its eggs in one basket and broke out the first interstellar war of human civilization, causing great damage.

"... it's hard to pick out this trough just by relying on internal factors." Zhang Yuan pondered and said, "now we need the help of aliens! The emergence of aliens is likely to be a key event to reverse the trend. But the probability of such a thing is too low. "

Elder martial brother Zhao couldn't help laughing: "how do you know that the arrival of aliens is a positive event? If you encounter a strong enemy that is difficult to resist, as long as you have the chance to live, the high-level human beings will probably surrender directly. It's better to live than die. How can ants challenge elephants? "

"Only enemies with equal strength can unite earth civilization. This probability is really very small... "

"That's true."

Elder martial brother Zhao opened a not so funny joke: "maybe when we are strong, we can be aliens."

"This joke is not funny at all. Do we have to go back? "

After the discussion, Zhang Yuan frowned.

Even if there is a lot of history to learn from, can the new civilization do better than the earth civilization?

Not necessarily.

Reality is always more cruel than imagined.

When all the ambitious star pioneers of their generation die, what will happen to the next few generations?

No one can predict.

Mankind itself has its own root of inferiority, and their future generations may not do better than earth civilization.

The wheel of history, the more later, the more not a single great man can change. How easy is it to change?

……

Life in the spaceship is quite boring. There are only three key words: learning, entertainment and rest. The research on the history of new civilization has been ongoing. How to translate samples into data is a key difficulty.

On this day, Zhang Yuan came to the star library alone and looked into the distance through a layer of glass.

He likes to think quietly in this small place.

Because of the cloud of war on earth, the economic recession and the reduction of expenditure, the information sent by the deep space foundation has been reduced from once a month to once a year.

If the funds are insufficient, it will continue to shrink in the future

This is very bad news.

"Hey, I wish I had kept that stock until now."

Zhang Yuan was a little annoyed, but soon gave up the idea. Maybe that stock is worth nothing until now. That company has gone bankrupt.

He began to try to change some key historical nodes in the model to change the current final outcome.

Assuming that a key history has not happened, will the current outcome change?

Unfortunately, this assumption cannot be made.

Key historical nodes are derived from a large amount of history ahead. If you want to modify these key historical nodes, the history ahead needs to be modified so that the whole network can be harmonious and matched.

While modifying a large number of history in front, we have to modify the history even more in front, all the way to the final origin.

As a result, every point in the whole network system needs to be modified in order to change the final outcome.

Such a complex deduction of chaotic system is not what Zhang Yuan can do at his current level.

"Pull a hair and move your whole body!"

The most important thing is that according to the mathematical model of new civilization history, there is definitely more than one insurmountable trough that a civilization finally reaches.

There are more and more troughs and more insurmountable problems ahead.

That is, under the dim starry sky, "mediocrity" is the most eternal truth.

How many civilizations are hidden in the twinkling stars? How many civilizations are facing mediocre outcomes similar to the earth?

Even if the earth civilization has not reached the final end, it is close to the end

Of the thousands of roads, only one is the real broad road, and the other 9999 are all dead ends.

Unfortunately, this broad road, hidden in countless dead ends, is not so easy to find.

It even disguised itself as a rugged path,

In the process of the growth of a civilization, there must be countless amazing heroes, but these great men can only delay the process of civilization towards mediocrity. Because they went the wrong way from the beginning.

At this moment, Zhang Yuan strengthened his determination to "subject everything to calculation". Relying on human wisdom alone, there are too few things to see. Even if the calculation is only a number, the simplicity and objectivity is far beyond human wisdom.

……