The next morning, Zhang Yuan started his normal work with a dark eye. 35xs anyway, the earth civilization is in jubilation, life will continue.

"Why, insomnia yesterday? Stay up late and watch it. "

"Yes, elder martial brother, you won." Zhang Yuan smiles.

"It has nothing to do with me The new civilization won. "

Maybe it's because at this moment, it's too far away from the earth; or maybe it's because under the baptism of time, the earth civilization has become very strange, and everyone's mood is not so low, it's equivalent to watching a very strange movie.

However, in the past few hundred years, the click through rate of relevant papers on the history of new civilization has increased by more than 1000 times, including Zhang Yuan's new papers, and there are many comments!

No matter what we can understand or not, people are trying to find a solution from this new subject.

Unfortunately, the history of new civilization so far is only a complex network model, and all kinds of calculations are extremely abstract. People usually can't understand it at all. They are just watching.

Only Zhang Yuan, who is proficient in mathematics, has a certain say.

Especially, converting a historical node into a series of chaotic functions involves a lot of complex computation. For some things, even Zhang Yuan himself can't figure out what this figure means after calculating a number.

"Now that we have the historical reference data of earth civilization, we can continue to improve this subject. 35xs is just not enough sample data It's only five or six hundred years old. " Zhang Yuan carefully read the current research progress.

He suddenly said: "I feel that the earth civilization has not reached the worst situation, there is still the possibility of breaking away from the trough."

"Yes Elder martial brother Zhao said: "it's just a cold war. There is a small probability to jump out of the trough, but a higher probability will make it worse. Regardless of calculation, from a political point of view, what do you think is the way to get the whole civilization out of the current predicament? "

According to the old historical experience, such a cold war will continue, similar to the original US Soviet hegemony struggle, until one side's economy completely collapses and one side nibbles at the other.

Of course, it's also possible that before the collapse, one side put all his eggs in one basket and broke out the first interstellar war of human civilization, causing great damage.

“…… It's hard to pick out this trough just by internal factors. " Zhang Yuan pondered for a while and said, "now we need the help of aliens very much! The emergence of aliens is likely to be a key event to reverse the trend. But the probability of this happening is too low. "

Elder martial brother Zhao couldn't help laughing: "how do you know that the arrival of aliens is a positive event? If we meet an irresistible strong enemy, as long as we have the chance to survive, the high level of human beings will probably surrender directly. It's better to live than die. How can ants challenge elephants? "

"Only a close enemy can unite the earth's civilization. The probability of 35xs is very small... "

"That's true."

Elder martial brother Zhao opened a not so funny joke: "maybe, when we are strong, we can be the alien."

"This joke is not funny at all. Do we have to go back? "

After the discussion, Zhang Yuan frowned.

Even if there is a lot of history to learn from, can new civilization do better than earth civilization?

Not necessarily.

Reality is always more cruel than imagined.

When all the ambitious star pioneers of their generation die, what will become of the later generations?

No one can predict.

Human beings have their own shortcomings, and their descendants may not do better than the earth civilization.

The wheel of history, the later, the more not a single great man can change. How easy is it to change?

……

The life inside the spaceship is quite boring. There are only three key words: study, entertainment and rest. The research on the history of new civilization has been going on, and how to translate the samples into data is a key difficulty.

On this day, Zhang Yuan came to the star library alone and looked into the distance through a layer of glass.

He likes to think quietly in this small place.

Because of the cloud of war on the earth, the economic recession and the reduction of expenditure, the information sent by the deep space foundation has been reduced from once a month to once a year.

If the funds are insufficient, it will continue to shrink in the future

This is very bad news.

"Well, if only I could keep that stock till now."

Zhang Yuan was slightly annoyed, but soon gave up the idea. Maybe that stock will be worthless until now. That company has gone bankrupt.

He began to try to change some key historical nodes in the model to change the current final outcome.Assuming that a critical history has not happened, will the present outcome change?

Unfortunately, that's not the assumption.

The key historical node is derived from a large amount of history ahead. If you want to modify these key history nodes, you need to modify all the history ahead, so that the whole network can be harmonious and matched.

And if we have changed a lot of history in front of us, we have to change more history in front of us until we reach the final origin.

As a result, every point in the whole network system needs to be modified to change the final outcome.

Such a complex deduction of chaotic system can not be achieved by Zhang Yuan at his present level.

"Pull a hair and move the whole body!"

The most important thing is that according to the mathematical model of the history of new civilization, there is definitely more than one insurmountable trough that a civilization has finally reached.

There are still more and more troughs ahead and more difficult problems to overcome.

In other words, under the dim starry sky, "mediocrity" is the most eternal truth.

How many civilizations are hidden in the twinkling stars? How many civilizations are faced with a mediocre ending similar to that of the earth?

Even if the earth civilization has not come to the end, it is close to the end

Of the myriad roads, there is only one road that is truly prosperous, and the remaining 9999 are only dead ends.

It's a pity that this broad road, hidden in countless blind alleys, is not so easy to find.

It even disguised as a rugged path,

in the process of the growth of a civilization, there must be countless amazing and gorgeous heroes, but these great men still can only delay the progress of civilization towards mediocrity. Because they started off on the wrong path.

At this moment, Zhang Yuan firmly determined that "everything is subject to calculation". Relying on human wisdom alone, he can see too little. Even if the calculation is just a number, the simplicity and objectivity is far beyond human wisdom.

……