Chapter 805： Not easy

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Perhaps out of disgusting Austria, the French ranch plan was not kept secret, and the news was released to the outside world shortly after the Paris government made its decision.

This is understandable. At this moment, the 8th Division of the Uprising Army led by Hutier and others has swelled to 80,000, and it will break through the 100,000 mark.

Regardless of the combat effectiveness, the destructive French have already learned. This unit of Uzbekistan forces has only done two things along the way: madly expanding troops and looting the manor.

Hutier and others have given full play to the style of bullying and fear. The French guard against the dead cities without touching them, and select the weak villages and small towns to start.

Even if most soldiers are holding cold weapons and relying on the advantages of human sea tactics, that is all the way.

In fact, many times there is no need to attack, looking at the number of rebels, the defenders along the way all fled the wind.

It is not that there is no common sense resistance, mainly because the military disadvantage is too serious, there are too few French soldiers in small towns, and the Egyptians are not reliable.

Concentrating troops to garrison large cities is the best choice. Generally speaking, as long as there are more than 1,000 French soldiers, the 8th Division will not touch the nails.

The death knell does not make any sense, nor did it come to fight the world. Direct waves are enough. The rebels in the rear do the job.

With the eighth division interspersed, the French troops in the Egyptian region also lost the opportunity to regroup and had to fight each other.

After all, there are few French soldiers who can fight. Most of the troops are colonial troops. It is okay to defend the city. It is better than going out to fight in the field.

The French government was naturally uncomfortable after so much turmoil. In the spirit of my discomfort, you don't want to think better, the French will show their cards directly.

Then all agricultural stocks began to plummet. A group of self-righteous experts and scholars have sprung up to sing down the agricultural stocks, and some even directly believe that a new round of agricultural crisis is in sight.

Well, this time they were right. For a long period of time in the future, enterprises engaged in agricultural production will not have a better life. It may be more appropriate to describe it every day.

Even if the Chinese do not come to this wave, the agricultural crisis will still erupt. With the continuous development of fertilizer technology, excess grain production capacity is an inevitable trend.

Even if grain exporting countries like Austria do not promote industrial fertilizer technology, those grain importing countries will promote it.

Although it is not as rapid as a few-fold increase in the use of chemical fertilizers in later generations, it is still possible to increase the output by tens of percent.

The grain production capacity can increase substantially, but the grain demand in the market cannot soar so much in a year.

Phosphate fertilizer has been born and has been used on a large scale; potash fertilizer has been born in the laboratory of the Royal Academy of Sciences. It is not promoted to maintain the stability of food prices.

As for the ammonia fertilizer and compound fertilizer behind, there is no shadow yet. Human needs are the source of power for technological advancement, and Austria is now one of insufficient power.

In order to make more profits in the export of agricultural products, Franz is not very active in the research of chemical fertilizer technology to increase food production capacity on a large scale.

For many admirers of green food in later generations, perhaps this is the best era. Pure green food that does not use fertilizers and pesticides is everywhere.

Affected by the French ranch plan, the world ’s major grain exporters have panic to varying degrees.

...

Saint Petersburg, as the world's largest exporter of raw grain, the Tsarist government is undoubtedly the most troublesome.

Alexander III experienced the agricultural crisis in person. It was in the last crisis that the tsarist government panicked and foolishly ran to sign the infamous grain-for-loan agreement with the British.

This is one of the few black histories of Alexander II. He was vacillated by the British and joined the British pound-the golden system.

Even if it finally depends on the British account, the Russian Empire still lost tens of millions of rubles, and the political losses were incalculable.

After one lesson, Alexander III realized the importance of agriculture to Russia and paid special attention to changes in the international food market.

"What do you think of the ranch plan announced by the French?"

Agriculture Minister Balsack said bitterly: "This is terrible. At present, the countries and regions in Europe that need a lot of food imports are mainly Britain, North Germany and Italy.

The remaining countries such as Switzerland, Belgium, Spain, and Portugal, although they are also food importers, have very limited demand, not adding up to 10%.

If the French food self-sufficiency plan is successful, the international grain export market will shrink by at least one fifth.

Without this part of the market, a new round of overcapacity in grain is destined to break out in Europe.

As the largest raw grain exporter in Europe, once this happens, we will inevitably suffer heavy losses, and even a new wave of peasant bankruptcy will erupt. "

Alexander III frowned, and everyone knew that he wanted a solution, not a complaint here.

"Is there a way to avoid the worst?"

Alexander III asked.

Unfortunately, it is easy to see the problem, but difficult to solve the problem. This is the general trend, and it cannot be resolved only by personal ability.

Ballshak shook his head: "The international market is shrinking. This is not something that the Ministry of Agriculture can control.

If possible, it is best to use diplomacy to make the French give up the ranch plan. "

Playing football, the Ministry of Agriculture has no way to deal with the agricultural crisis and has to hope in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

"This is impossible!

The French have withdrawn from the free trade system, and even if international food prices fall to the bottom, they can also adopt tariff barriers to protect the domestic market from shocks.

Having achieved food self-sufficiency, the French government can save a lot of foreign exchange expenditures every year and reverse the current trade deficit. I really can't think of a reason for the French to give up.

Rather than expecting the French to enter the water and abandon the plan of the big farm, it is better to start thinking of ways to reduce food production capacity or expand market demand. "

Faced with the kicked ball, Foreign Secretary Oscar Jimenez responded without hesitation.

Both Russia and Austria are French competitors on the European continent. While fighting against the competitors, they can also obtain generous profits. The French government has no reason not to do so.

Not to mention the pressure from the Russians in the past, even if the European countries pressure together, the French will not give up.

Agriculture Secretary Paul Shakyi's rhetoric refused: "There are as many as 50 to 60 million people engaged in agricultural production in China. It is simply impossible for so many people to reduce production capacity together.

Expanding the market is a joke. Hasn't the domestic food demand market expanded?

However, with the expansion of the market, our grain production capacity is also increasing at the same time, even faster.

This is still based on the premise that domestic agricultural production technology is backward. If the latest agricultural production technology is adopted, domestic food production capacity can be increased by one third.

If, after considering the increase in grain production capacity, no market is found, the Ministry of Agriculture has long promoted new technologies. "

Although the words were not very pleasant, Alexander III knew that this was true, and it was unrealistic to cut production capacity and expand the market.

"Once the French plan is completed, Austria will also suffer heavy losses. What is the Vienna government going to do?" Alexander III asked expectantly

There is nothing embarrassing. If you ca n’t handle it yourself, you can learn from others. The worst part is that others do n’t know what to do.

After hesitating for a while, Balsack replied: "Your Majesty, the situation in Austria is different from ours.

It is also a big grain exporter, but Austria mainly exports finished grain and by-products, and its ability to resist risks is stronger than ours.

As early as 1884, the trade volume of agricultural and sideline products and food industry products exported by Austria accounted for 47.9% of the total export of agricultural products, and this proportion is still increasing.

The food price plummeted, and the impact on canned food, biscuits, snacks, and industrial chemical products was not great. Even because the production cost was reduced, profits would increase further.

The direct impact is mainly on the sale of finished grain, such as: flour, potato flour ...

After the price of grain falls, it will spread to the retail market. For a while, processing companies can lower the price of grain purchases and pass on their own risks ... "

Seeing the tsar's face getting more and more ugly, Paul Shaq's voice was getting smaller and smaller, until he finally shut up.

It was normal for Alexander III to be unhappy. He had thought that someone was unlucky with him, but he did not expect others to be ready to retreat.

Once Austrian companies lowered grain purchase prices, most of the losses fell to the Russian Empire, and they could not refuse.

After all, during the agricultural crisis, it is lucky to be able to sell it, and if you are unlucky, you can only pile up in the warehouse and wait for mold.

Seeing that the atmosphere was tense, Chancellor of the Exchequer Alisher Gulov deliberately digressed: "No matter how the losses are passed on, Austrian agriculture will be hit, it is nothing more than a matter of size.

Judging from Austria's agricultural volume, even a drop of one percentage point is enough to hurt the Vienna government.

Once the agricultural crisis breaks out, even if their industrial chain is perfected, it will also suffer heavy losses. The Vienna government cannot fail to take action.

Now there is no movement, it is estimated that they have also been stunned by the sudden action of the French, and I don't know how to deal with it for a while. "

After listening to this explanation, Alexander III's expression slightly eased. It ’s nice to be accompanied by someone, and it ’s too bad to be alone.

"The Ministry of Foreign Affairs pays close attention to Austria's developments and will report to me any changes."

...

Didn't let Alexander III wait so long.

On June 11, 1885, Austria sent invitations to agricultural exporters such as Russia, Denmark, Argentina, the United States of America, and Brazil to prepare for the third agricultural summit in Vienna next March.

This result has relieved many people. It's good to have some movement, the most feared thing is that there is no response.

The French ’s ranch strategy is currently just a plan, to be precise, an intention, not even a specific plan.

If you want to implement it, it is not a day or two. Not to mention, the site selection is not something that can be tossed out within a month or two.

After the agricultural experts have selected the location and completed the preliminary design plan, it is estimated that it is too late to level the land, and this year will pass.

Time is still sufficient, so do n’t worry. There are still years before the threat becomes a threat.

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