Chapter 931： Have their own calculations

In St. Petersburg, after receiving a peace signal from the British, Alexander III sighed helplessly.

This war in Afghanistan was a typo, and for the Russian Empire, it was a complete start, but it almost made a bronze record in the end.

At the beginning, the Afghan guerrillas cooperated, and the Russian army beat the British all the way. Unfortunately, the Afghan area was not smooth. As the front continued to advance, the logistical pressure on the Russian army was also increasing.

Coupled with the continuous arrival of British reinforcements, the Russian army lost its military advantage, and the situation on the battlefield gradually changed.

By now, the war in Afghanistan has evolved into a war of attrition. Facing the wealthy and powerful British, the impoverished Tsarist government was obviously unable to resist.

It seems that the Russian army has the upper hand in the Afghan battlefield, but in fact the tsarist government also has misery.

Up to now, the Russian army has paid nearly half a million casualties and billions of rubles in war expenses. However, the legendary India is still beyond reach.

Casualties are just a small problem. After all, they regained Central Asia and occupied three quarters of Afghanistan. Even the exchange ratio between the two sides reached an astonishing 1.1:3.7, which can be said to be the best record of the Russian army in the past 50 years.

Of course, this is a record of adding the Central Asian Khanate and the Indian colonial army. Simply playing with the British main force, the Russian army still does not take much advantage.

It doesn't matter if there is water, it doesn't affect the tsarist government's political propaganda. In short, the performance of the Russian army on the battlefield has explained the past to all aspects.

The headache for Alexander III is finances. Since his succession, the family assets accumulated by the tsarist government have all been involved. He has also owed huge debts, and more importantly, he has not been able to enter India.

If the Russian army has already penetrated India, then smash the pot and sell iron, and Alexander III will continue the war.

It's a pity that there is no if in reality. The British have already reacted. In addition to the hundreds of thousands of main troops sent from the mainland, there are also two million Indian colonial troops waiting in battle.

According to the information from the front lines, the main British forces have rarely come out for decisive battles. Most of the time, they supervised the battles in the rear, using colonial forces to entangle with the Russian forces. British generals did not even care about casualties.

If you continue at this pace, the Indians will not die and the British will not admit defeat.

No matter how worthless, gray animals are more expensive than the natives in the colonies. Regardless of the exchange ratio, the Russian army suffers. After all, there are 300 million Indians on the opposite side.

"Get ready to negotiate with the British!"

After making this decision, Alexander III was depressed. The closest opportunity of the Russian Empire to India was so missed.

"Yes!"

"Your Majesty, shall we inform the Austrians, after all..."

Before the Foreign Secretary Oscar Jimenez could finish speaking, Alexander III interrupted: "You figure it out! Anyway, the British don't want to fight anymore, and we don't have the ability to fight."

After speaking, Alexander III turned and left.

There is no doubt that the Russian Empire is not incapable of continuing this war. After all, there are Austrian nurses who are replenishing blood behind, and they can hold on for a while.

The key is that in the case of inability to capture India, continuing this war will drag the British, and will only make Austria, which is advancing on the African continent leaps and bounds, not in the interests of the Russian Empire.

No matter how good an ally is, it cannot resist the temptation of interest.

According to the prior agreement, the Vienna government supported the Tsarist government's entry into India in exchange for Russia's support for Austria to dominate Africa. After the war, the two countries shared the European hegemony.

The Tsarist government is now truce with the British, and it is also pitting teammates. But there is no way. The tsarist government has determined that it cannot get India, so it cannot watch Austria dominate Africa.

Otherwise, the strength of the two countries will be further expanded after the war. In this age of the weak and the strong, once there is an imbalance of power, the so-called shared European hegemony is a joke.

Alexander III's political mind is still very bright, knowing the importance of the Russian-Austrian alliance, in order to reduce political influence, decisively choose to throw the pot.

...

Since deciding to support the French, the British Foreign Office has taken a series of actions, and the British-Russian truce is only one of the measures.

After all, the Russians are Austria's allies, and they cannot be fooled by them in a few words. Among other things, the contradictions between Britain and Russia cannot be solved in a short time.

Just fought a battle, turned around and formed an alliance. These Sao operations exist in theory, and maybe they can be done in the Middle Ages.

But today with the rise of nationalism, anyone who dares to play like this must have a revolution.

In Tokyo, the British minister who sent away the uninvited guests, Ito Bowen, was not well.

It was hard to coordinate the interests of all parties, reluctantly suppress the voice of going south, and continue to implement the previous strategy of going north. Now that the British have mixed up, the situation has changed again.

Needless to think about it, the British even visited him as the leader of the opposition, let alone the politicians who originally supported the southward move, they must have been lobbyed.

While Ito Hirofumi was thinking about countermeasures, the voice of the attendant suddenly sounded.

"Prime Minister, the palace is calling, asking you to go to the royal conference immediately."

With a "bang", Ito Hirobumi's water glass fell to the ground. It came so quickly that there was no preparation time for him at all.

There is no doubt that there must be domestic political forces behind this. Otherwise, the British minister will not just leave, and the imperial conference will be held soon.

Such a move is nothing but a demonstration to him, asking him, the opposition to go south, to retreat.

There is no way, the "three heroes" of the Meiji Restoration have all passed away, and there is no Dinghai Shenzhen that can suppress all political forces, and the means of political struggle have become more and more unique.

For example, these guys are hiding from him, the Prime Minister, privately contacting the British, and even reaching an agreement.

Knowing it, Ito Bowen is essentially powerless. Regardless of his reputation in later generations, he has never managed to keep his promise.

That is to say, Japan has not yet embarked on a strategic adventure, and the military has not had time to become bigger in the war, and the government can barely suppress them.

After the military becomes bigger, if anyone dares to confront them, a mutiny will be launched every minute and the government will be changed.

...

The Minister of the Navy Xixiang Congdao took the lead and said: "The British have already stated their position to support the French, and the international situation has undergone a fundamental change.

The outcome of the European War has become clearer. The risks we were worried about no longer exist, and all the conditions for implementing the southward strategy are in place. "

If possible, Xixiang Congdao wouldn't want to be such an early bird. But there is no way. As Secretary of the Navy, he doesn't want to get ahead.

With the gathering of powers in the Southeast Asia, the situation is complicated. Once Japan extends its power, it is bound to significantly expand its navy.

As the biggest beneficiary of the southward strategy, the senior navy has unified opinions and will not allow him, the minister of the navy, to retreat.

Minister of Agriculture and Commerce Kazuo Inoue: "Xixiang-san, your so-called European War situation is clear, I am afraid it is too early to say.

As we all know, the strongest of the British is the Royal Navy. Relatively speaking, their army is very average.

Even if the French won the support of the British, it would not make much sense for the European decisive battle unless the Russians also supported them.

In fact, this is impossible. As we all know, the Russian-Austrian alliance is very stable, and the Russians simply cannot do without Austria.

Unless it is the tsarist government's brains, it will betray its allies and run to support its enemies. "

Nothing wrong, the negotiations between Britain and Russia have just begun, and they are still in a state of confidentiality. The Japanese government's intelligence capabilities are limited, and its tentacles have not reached the top levels of Britain and Russia.

According to the normal mode of thinking, Britain and Russia are at war and France and Austria are at war. The enemy's enemies are friends. Moreover, Russia and Austria originally had a covenant. Now that Britain and France are close together, Russia and Austria will naturally stand together.

England and France played pk against Russia and Austria on land, with almost no chance of winning. In this context, accepting the invitation of Britain and France to declare war on Austria is not reliable.

Army General Da Shanyan: "Inoue-kun, you are too worried. Not to mention whether the Russians are willing to send troops to help Austria, even if they win in Europe?

As long as the British are willing to support France, overseas colonies will be at an absolute disadvantage when competing for the Sino-French alliance. Austria wants to retaliate against us, and also requires them to be able to overcome the Royal Navy blockade.

As far as I know, the allies that Britain and France are wooing are not only us, but also several American countries will also participate in order to seize Austria’s overseas colonies.

We awakened too late, missed the colonial era, and now all lands around the world have owners.

Fortunately, the European powers are also full of contradictions. This European War is our best opportunity. As long as we have captured the Australasia, we will have all the coal, iron ore, rubber, and food we want. "

Looking at the narcissistic mountain rock, Ito Bowen couldn't help but interrupt: "The British are not ready to form an alliance with us and invite them to participate in the attack on the Australasia, just because of the situation.

No matter how much they promised to seize the Austrian South Seas, most of the interests belonged to Britain and France, and all that belonged to us were leftovers.

Everyone has studied European history and should be clear about their rules. Even if Austria were defeated in this war, they were still a big country.

For some benefit, offending a big European country is totally outweigh the gain. When we are retaliated in the future, the British will not stand up for us. "

The window paper was torn, and everyone was dumbfounded. The weak and the strong are the essence of this era, and the weak are not qualified to compete with the strong for spoils.

The power gap is too great, even if Britain and France give more promises, the Japanese government will not be able to make them fulfill them after the war. In the face of interests, breach of contract is really normal.

If you can't monopolize the Austrian South Seas, just follow Britain and France to pick up the leaked soup, then starting this war will become completely meaningless.

Although the Japanese military is a bit more aggressive, they are not stupid. The Showa staff of S2 has not yet been online, and everyone present is the master of IQ Online, so naturally they will not go to the pit.

Xixiang Congdao smiled slightly and pointed to the map on the wall and said: "Ito-kun, we have naturally considered this problem. The British have their abacus, and we also have our plans.

Our neighbors don’t have an old saying called "Fake Dao Faqi". Austria is not easy to mess with. Everyone knows that their power in the Southeast Asia is not something we can eat.

From beginning to end, Austrian Nanyang was not our goal. Our real goal is still here-the fertile Philippine Islands.

Choosing to cooperate with Britain and France is just to use them as a cover to confuse the Spanish and create opportunities for seizing the Philippine Islands. "

Hearing this explanation, Ito Hirobumi's solemn expression slowed down. Compared with attacking Austrian Nanyang, it is clear that bullying the Spaniard is more acceptable, at least the risk is within control.

"Although the plan is good, have you considered the consequences?

Britain and France are not friendly masters. Knowing that we are using them, we will definitely retaliate in the future.

A bad operation will plunge the empire into a situation where it will never recover. After all, our strength is still too weak to withstand the toss. "

Xixiang Congdao nodded: "Our military has discussed this issue a long time ago. If there was no European War, we would not dare to do it anyway.

But now it's different. The European powers are divided into two camps, Britain, France, and Russia and Austria. The British's European balance strategy is faltering. For a while, these powers will not take care of us.

Judging from the data collected, the total mobilized forces of the two warring parties totaled more than 10 million. If you continue to fight like this, it is very difficult for the participants of the European War to have a real winner. The final outcome is mostly loss.

As long as we are more flexible and join the winner in time on the eve of the European War, the game will be stable.

No matter who won the war, he would be busy licking his wounds after the war, and would never fight against our ally for such a trivial matter.

If you are lucky, you can get some spoils and improve our international status. "

...

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