Chapter 2283： Crown Prince and Archduke Three

"For example, the most important reason for the alliance between Britain, France and Russia is because they are vested interests. What about the alliance between Germany and Austria? It is because we all want the colonies and we all want to get a share of the Russians! Our interests They all focus on Europe."

"And what about us and Japan? From a geopolitical point of view, our core interest circle is Europe, Africa and West Asia. Japan's sphere of influence is the Far East. We must invest our strength in our core interest circle, and the Japanese cannot be far away. The heavy oceans have had a significant impact on the situation in Europe. You can see that Japan’s support for the Allied countries this time will be clear. It is all about the attitude of doing business. On the whole, I feel that the Allied countries have lost money. The direction that both sides value is not important. The same, how to coordinate the interests of the alliance? The distance between the two sides is too far, and we can't take care of each other at all. At least Japan has no ability to take care of us. In this case, what is the meaning of our alliance?"

"Let’s take a look at the history of Japan’s fortune. In less than 20 years, the Japanese have experienced four wars, and they will experience the fifth war in the near future. No modern country can survive such fierce wars. Even if it is not a military failure, the consumption of war will eventually bring down the country! For example, Napoleon, when he was strong, the whole Europe trembled at his feet, but the French First Empire only lasted for a few days? The same goes for Napoleon III In Crimea, the French and the Russians fought, then Italy, the French and the Austrians, then the expedition to Mexico, and finally we fought again, so you know the final result."

"Even if it is the German Empire, which claims to be unified with iron and blood, we have only fought two main battlefields, one is the Austro-Prussian War and the other is the Franco-Prussian War. And the two wars ended very quickly. Then, the German Empire. I have used my own military power very carefully for decades. Modern warfare has caused a huge loss of national power, unlike the so-called Seven Years War and the Thirty Years War in Europe. It began in the Napoleonic era. , A country that has always abused its military power will eventually fail! This is the iron rule! The Russians are actually like this."

(Of course, the war referred to here must be a relatively large-scale war, like the British suppression of the colonies, which is generally not counted, but the Boer War is an exception. After all, the British spent more than 200 million pounds in war expenses in this war. ! And the Boer War did have a certain weakening effect on Britain.)

"In this world, any country, even if it is as powerful as the Victorian England, cannot continue to launch large-scale wars endlessly. Napoleon is like this, Russia is like this, so why is Japan spared? Just 20 There will be 5 wars in one year! There is no future for such a frantically waged war country, and at the same time, it is beyond our control.” Ruprecht said.

"We can reach agreement with the Austro-Hungarian Empire on many issues, such as limiting the Austro-Hungarian Empire’s ambitions in the Balkans when the Empire is not ready. The Austro-Hungarian Empire as our ally is controllable, and it will not be because of it. The move alone affects our strategy, but Japan is absolutely uncontrollable. It will even kidnap its allies. I believe that when the Philippine naval war broke out, the United Kingdom would definitely not be willing to conflict with the Americans, but when the Japanese Everything was different when the naval gun fired the first gun against the US Navy! Britain was kidnapped by Japan! This led to the United States standing on the opposite side of the Allied Powers. Imagine if the United States was on the side of the United Kingdom, then we would be in this war. What kind of situation are you facing?"

"The victorious end of the war is only the first step in the rise of the empire. In the next 20 years, the integration problem we will face will be more difficult than war! At this time, how could we interrupt us because of the reckless action of an ally? The plan? Therefore, I do not have any good feelings about Japan, nor do I think it is necessary to form an alliance. If an alliance is formed, then Japan's ambition and courage will expand unusually, and this expansion will be disastrous for the development of the empire. Believe me, the so-called diplomatic warnings of the Japanese have no effect, only swords can make them honest!" Ruprecht said at last.

Ruprecht has already said very clearly, whether it is from reality or from the analysis of Japan's national strength and strategic goals, whether or not to form an alliance with Japan will not have a significant impact on the overall situation of Europe. From a subjective point of view, Japan values ​​its interests in the Far East. For example, during the Great War, Japan took advantage of the European War and directly swallowed up half of the Dutch East India as an example. It would not consider the so-called European allies at all. Benefits, the so-called help is entirely in the face of money! Well, for such a guy who is contrary to his strategy and useless at the same time, does it make sense to ally with him? Obviously not!

From a strategic point of view, After forming an alliance, it has to bear the obligation to share the results, and Japan has no benefit except for all kinds of blind actions to bring all kinds of troubles to allies. Take a look at Germany and Austria, Italy at the beginning of the war. It was a wait-and-see attitude. In the later stages of the war, Italy tried to negotiate with Germany and Austria to participate in the war, but was tactfully rejected by Germany and Austria. So what was it willing? Not to mention that Italy as a speculator itself is disgusting. More importantly, once Italy joins the war, it will inevitably become a member of the distribution of the victory. Deao can solve the problem by himself, so why add someone to get a share of the pie? If this is the case in Italy, then it will be even more worth the loss to join forces with Japan!

Ruprecht has two requirements for allies. The first is that he can really help in Europe, Africa, and West Asia. The other point is controllability! A runaway scam can be more troublesome than a powerful enemy! Japan does not possess these two points at all!

"I understand what you mean." Ruprecht has already stated the reasons very clearly, and these reasons are enough to convince the Grand Duke and the Kaiser. And even if the Grand Duke of Baden disagrees with the crown prince’s rhetoric, it is of no use. The reason is simple. The Crown Prince Ruprecht, who stands behind the Kingdom of Bavaria and the Austro-Hungarian Empire, can completely influence the diplomatic strategy of Germany and even the Allied countries. Perhaps the crown prince supports it. It may not be passed, but if the crown prince objects, then it will definitely fail... Therefore, Grand Duke Baden has no need to continue to struggle with things that are doomed to fail.

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