Chapter 2476： How to end the battle

"The military factor in this war is at most 50%, and the remaining 50% are economic and political factors. Wanting a mindful solution to the war in the Pacific direction by military power is tantamount to a dream!" Saiyuanji Gongwang said next. Not only made Yamamoto Gonbi and Hayao Shimamura feel dissatisfied and puzzled, but also made Masaki Terauchi, who was sitting opposite, uncomfortable.

Although the navy and the army are antagonistic on many issues, they have always been fanatics of military power and believe that all problems can be solved with their swords. But now, when Xiyuanji Gongwang said these words, it undoubtedly devalued the value of their saber! It's just that the coercion frightened by Xiyuan Temple's public hope, no one will strike for the time being.

"I'm very disappointed in you. The army has more and more power and its attempts are getting bigger and bigger, but no matter whether it is in the Chinese or in the political party, I can't see an existence that can inherit my mantle. I am very worried about this. The government of the country will become a tool of the military. I am really worried. The military is the backbone of the country, but the military cannot control the government. If you have some political and strategic literacy, then our exchanges will be very easy. , But you did not."

"Even in the German Empire, which has the strongest military color among the great powers, their soldiers strictly abide by their own rules-not too much participation in politics. Although their leaders are proficient in military affairs, they can handle military affairs well. Political relations. They are fully aware that military is only a political tool. They will not start wars for the sake of war. They will consider how wars start, how they will proceed, and how they will end from a political perspective."

"But in your eyes, I don't see that kind of thinking peculiar to politicians. All your efforts to end the war are carried out around the military. This cannot be said wrong. After all, most wars are done by military means. It's over. But this does not include the war we are facing now." Xiyuan Temple Gongwang's words were full of disappointment and dissatisfaction.

"His Excellency Yamamoto, you are actually very pessimistic about the current situation, because you can't find a military idea that can eventually make the Americans give up. So, in the end you chose this one that made the Americans feel the war won. The cost was too great and I was forced to give up such excuses. Didn’t I say? In our previous conversations, you have made a good combat plan, but the results of each battle cannot be given to the United States even according to the best estimates. People are hurt, so you put forward the alternate point of looking for opportunities to fight the Americans. However, this just exposes your weak nature!"

"I'm not very proficient in military affairs, but I will understand a little bit, and my staff will also provide some advice. They are all retired high-level navy and army, proficient in military operations at the operational and tactical levels. They have consistently given me this. One opinion is that accidents are most likely to occur in small-scale battles, and accidental factors in larger-scale wars will be severely reduced. Because according to mathematical principles, when the sample gets larger and larger, it will benefit you The accidental events and the accidental events that are not conducive to you will eventually reach a balance. Therefore, victory in a large-scale decisive battle is more inclined to the stronger side!" Saiyuanji said.

Is there any truth to this statement? There must be some, such as the Danish naval battle in the history of the 2nd battle, the battleship Prince of Wales and the battlecruiser Hood against the battleship Bismarck and the heavy cruiser Prince Eugen. In terms of strength, the British are clearly an absolute advantage. However, due to errors in target judgment, the Bismarck, the most important target, was ignored. In addition, Hood was shot into the soul. Therefore, the British Navy collapsed instantly. This is a so-called accidental decision. A typical example of this small-scale engagement.

But this kind of thing will almost never happen in a large-scale war, because it is impossible for you to be lucky to take advantage and not lose, right? It's like flipping a coin. The probabilities of the pros and cons are actually equal. The more times, the probability of pros and cons is closer to 1 to 1. Therefore, if you analyze it from a rational point of view, if the two sides do not make major mistakes at the strategic level, then the Japanese in small-scale wars may also have some defying exchange ratios. If it is a large-scale war, then the goddess of victory will eventually be inclined. To the stronger side.......

"Furthermore, in your remarks, Yamamoto-kun also overlooked an issue, or you mentioned this issue during internal discussions, but you deliberately concealed it when you communicated with me. That is if after a large-scale decisive battle, the Imperial Navy obtains Gains an advantage, but what if virtue wants to continue to fight?"

"Of course, you can say that the great pressure of defeat will force virtue to give up. But now I want to ask, if various unfavorable factors do not make virtue give up, does the Imperial Navy have a way? Can you see Japan and virtue? There is a huge power gap between them. Is it because virtue is not clear about their own advantages? They have 200% confidence to be sure, if both sides consume it Japan is dead! So, a certain battle Failure will not shake the Americans' determination to persevere, am I right?" Saiyuanji asked.

"But you also said that the Germans did not want Japan to subdue in this war. You said that this is not in Germany's interests." Yamamoto Gonei said impatiently. Although he did not admit it, he knew about Saiyuan Temple. That's right. From a military perspective, Japan really has no chance! Considering only from a military perspective, as long as the virtues want to fight and there are no other foreign factors, then Japan will eventually kneel. The last battle of the combined fleet may be in Kalimantan, maybe in the Philippines, or even on the mainland, but One thing is certain, if the opponent wants to fight, Japan will die!

Although many people have mentioned that the international political environment and the interests of the great powers made Japan unable to die this time, for example, Germany needs to allow Japan to contain the United States. Britain also needs the power of Japan to suppress the rebellion in Southeast Asia and South Asian colonies. The United States is not really ready to fight a war that is too protracted. But that's what I said, but Gonbei Yamamoto didn't know exactly how to do it, because he only knew military affairs and didn't understand international grand strategy.

Therefore, all his plans only mentioned how to use military means to end the war, and when he encountered a problem that he couldn't even convince him, he fabricated some seemingly reasonable excuses to complete his plan. Can't make a plan but it fails in the end? What are you planning?

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