Chapter 2488： 2 hands ready for one

"It seems that in the first stage of the war, we can only act as thugs, not chess players." Raidel said to Su Xiong after pouring himself a cup of coffee. As Su Xiong's old partner, Raidel also accompanied the German fleet to the United States this time and continued to serve as Su Xiong's chief of staff.

"Yes, we are only thugs, not chess players." Su Xiong nodded and said with a glass of wine.

"So when can we become chess players?" Raidel asked.

"I don't know, maybe it will take 3 months, maybe we will always be thugs." Su Xiong said.

"You mean, this time the U.S. Navy might take the New Ireland Island in one go?" Raidel said, touching his chin. "If the first step of the battle is successful, then Rabaul in New Britain will be taken down soon. After all, New Ireland is a long and narrow island from east to west, which is the shield of Rabaul. If this shield is lost , Then Rabaul will definitely not be able to hold on, the Japanese can only withdraw to Guinea and discuss the long-term plan."

"That's the case. Actually, I don't think the Japanese will fight the Americans in the first stage of the war. They may just be delayed and exhausted. The Japanese are very aware of the power gap between them and the United States. Even if there is a decisive battle, it is estimated to be Kaliman Island or Java Island."

“And to be honest, let’s not talk about strategic decision-making and execution capabilities for the time being. I think the Americans’ combat plans are still very good. They have refined all the elements as much as possible, and formulated nearly standardized response and management methods. Let the entire battle process be as digitized as possible," Su Xiong said.

"The Americans have a very good way of making plans, and the thinking is right. The only problem is that the first step is that the design of the strategic goal is a little big. This step is easy to fall. However, considering the United States' strong economic foundation and industrial capabilities , A little loss is not serious for them." Su Xiong said at last.

Su Xiong's meaning is already very clear. Although the Americans have not made a good choice at the strategic level, they still have the opportunity to rely on strong industry and national strength, and when they are willing to bear certain losses, they have the opportunity to use force and materials to pile up. Take the Bismarck Islands. And if this is successful, then the Americans will naturally continue their plan without considering the opinions of the Germans. Only when the front line is frustrated, the Americans will include Su Xiong and other German generals in the core circle of decision-making.

"I think the probability that the Americans will successfully win the Bismarck Islands is not high." Riddle thought for a while and said: "I'm not saying that the Americans can't get it, but that the Americans may have to pay a very high price. The big possibility will shake the American determination to fight."

"Why?" Su Xiong asked. He didn't expect Raidel to be less optimistic about Americans than he.

"The current situation is like a huge hourglass. The smaller container above is Japan, and the much larger one below is the United States. Although the United States has a huge advantage, the connection point between the two is the only battlefield. That's a little bit! And the most important thing is that there is a guy named Britain attached to this small container in Japan. With the support of the British, it is very difficult for the Americans to handle." Raidel said as he drew on the paper.

"I have seen Americans’ combat plans, and they have done very well in many places, but I have to say that he took it for granted. At least, in this battle, the Americans have absolutely no advantage in daytime reconnaissance. Because the core of the American aviation power is the five aircraft carriers. But what he needs to face is the Japanese land-based aircraft. Using sea-based aviation power against land-based aviation power is very disadvantaged. Maybe it will be fine at first, but after a while There will definitely be bugs, and considering that aircraft carriers also need to be maintained and supplied. The offensive side’s maritime aviation power will decay much faster than the defender’s.” Raidel said.

For technical reasons, the aircraft of this era are very sensitive to the range. Although the Americans push forward the forward base as much as possible, it is a pity that the aircraft in the forward base still cannot effectively support the US fleet in the Bismarck Islands. The voyage is barely enough, but what do people do? For example, the V1500 can fly in the air for more than 20 hours. You let the pilot above fly for 20 hours before trying to fight? Tired to death! It's still a hairy! This is not a second-war bomber, it has relatively complete life-sustaining facilities. Don't talk about combat in this era, even the so-called civil aviation passenger aircraft conditions are very difficult.

As for why in history, the US aircraft carrier formation could sweep Japan's land-based aviation force in 1943? The reason is very simple. At that time, the Americans had an overwhelming advantage in national strength, technology, and personnel, but now, the United States does not have this advantage, although the Japanese aviation power is a chicken. But no matter how people have British support, there are British camel fighters, Victory V12 night-cooled engines and Rolls-Royce Eagle engines, technically at least not worse than the United States, after all, the famous aero engine manufacturers in later generations have not yet exerted their power. Well, the American aviation engine technology is far inferior to the United States and Germany!

In addition, the time of the war is really anxious There are only 5 American aircraft carriers participating in the war, and other auxiliary rotations. More are still on the slipway. Therefore, if you have more than 400 carrier-based aircraft to undertake fleet air defense, ground attack, and aviation reconnaissance tasks at the same time, this number is definitely not enough. You must know that even in the Norwegian Sea battle, the high seas fleet’s carrier-based aircraft are not comparable. With fewer Americans and higher-quality pilots, a large number of land-based aviation forces are also used for investigations. Today's Americans do not have this condition.

Once the aviation power decays, it first means the decline of the investigative power, and then the gradual change of air supremacy! Of course, considering the Japanese industrial ability and ability to pay and the level of pilots, it is impossible to say that Japan has a naval aviation force that can pose a serious threat to the huge fleet, but even so, the Japanese can still operate in land-based aviation. Under the cover of power, you can fight more actively. It is even possible to challenge the US fleet during the day. The reason is simple. With aerial reconnaissance, the Japanese fleet can't fight at high speed, so it can always run well, right? Just four Bavarian-class battleships, do you dare to chase them?

The Japanese play is flexible, but the United States is different. The reason is simple. The US fleet must be responsible for the hundreds of thousands of US troops and engineers on the landing site! This is equivalent to being chained, and in this case, it is already very passive from the combat level.

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