Chapter 549

He dared to tell this story because many things have been declassified and there are some gossip in many newspapers and magazines; And he is in xiangdao, and the source of information is no worse than them, even if they are in a high position.

I want this story because I can learn a lot from it: doing things requires strength, negotiating skills, decision-making needs facts... Too many.

The most important thing is that when he recalled this event last night, a lot of information emerged in his mind, which are the memories of his previous life.

Sure enough, as he began to speak, the small conference room was silent, and only his slow and sonorous voice echoed in it.

After he finished speaking, an old comrade with a flat head shouted, "that's what happened! From this process, didn't the Soviet Union suffer a great loss? "

Seeing everyone's eyes staring at him, long Jianhua nodded, "from the perspective of our business negotiation, they really suffered a big loss."

Mr. Zhang smiled and asked, "tell me, how should we talk about business negotiations?"

Long Jianhua paused for a few seconds and said, "business negotiation is actually about economic interests. Everyone should make a profit and achieve a win-win situation."

"Before negotiation, you need to know the other party's information as much as possible, such as the bottom line, such as the negotiator's personality. Obviously, neither the United States nor the Soviet Union knew in advance. "

"Khrushchev believed that Kennedy was very young, had not experienced major events, and his memory still remained on the bay of pigs incident in 61 years; Moreover, his three estimates are also taken for granted. "

"As a superpower like the United States, some bottom lines are untouchable. He put missiles and nuclear warheads in people's backyard and let people sleep with bombs. Of course he didn't want to. "

"With the completion of the missile launch site, in the face of the tough attitude of the United States, Khrushchev retreated and lost ground, immediately resulting in a lack of self-confidence. It can be seen that his psychological quality is not strong enough. "

"In addition, the three estimates misled him, making him unable to quickly take correct systematic countermeasures; Those countermeasures that come up with are also temporary measures to treat head and foot pain. Especially after Cuba shot down a U-2 reconnaissance plane, he was completely flustered. "

"In fact, the United States has adopted an aggressive approach of extreme repression. Declare to the Soviet Union with powerful force that they are not afraid of a war, even a nuclear war. "

"But in fact, they are also very afraid. If the six launch sites launch missiles at the same time, they can blow up niuyuk and make the territory of 13 US countries out of control. This is the first. "

"Second, Turkish missiles and Cuban missiles are both in the backyard and can reach the mainland. When he deployed missiles in Cuba, he never thought that he would go there in the future. "

"Third, for the United States, West Berlin is what he cares most. If there was a plan in advance, Khrushchev could ask NATO to let West Berlin out to Warsaw Pact. As for how NATO handles it, it's their internal affair. Just throw the pressure on the United States. "

"Another important point is strength. This power includes soft and hard power. Soft power is reflected in negotiations here, and hard power is reflected in military power. "

The old comrade with a flat head smiled and said, "long Jianhua, do you want to fight that war or not?"

He shook his head and said, "I don't want to fight. The Third World War broke out, and it was a nuclear war, and the consequences were unpredictable. "

Old man Zhang asked with a smile, "what if there's a fight?"

Long Jianhua said with a smile, "for the presidents of world powers, I believe in their judgment and their assessment of the consequences. From Kennedy and Khrushchev's handling of the incident, they are actually very rational. "

The old comrade with a flat head laughed, "Khrushchev was very rational, but he defeated the Soviet Union. So intimidated by the Americans, they quickly dismantled the missiles and asked people to check and take photos on the high seas. No wonder he was dismissed in two years. He deserved it. "

Long Jianhua stared at the table without a sound.

Master Liu waved his hand, "you haven't finished yet. Go on."

Long Jianhua looked up at the crowd. "I think things have come to that stage. Khrushchev should quickly organize personnel to discuss and exchange the withdrawal of Turkish missiles by the MI army or the surrender of West Berlin for their withdrawal of Cuban missiles."

"Unfortunately, he played all his cards when the other party had not played yet. Every time he gave in, he didn't ask the other party to give in. Maybe he didn't expect to bargain. "

"In fact, at that time, it is very important to reflect strong psychological quality. At this time, we can talk about everything, and we must not advise. Khrushchev was impatient. He was frightened and counselled by the U-2. He made a good start and lost everything. "

Master Zhang asked, "do you think Khrushchev's missiles deployed in Cuba are not used to attack the United States?"

Long Jianhua shook his head. "According to the published information, he only wants to defend Cuba, not to attack the United States."

"In the early morning of the 28th, the Soviet ambassador to Cuba relayed Castro's letter. Castro said that the United States would invade Cuba in the next 24-72 hours. Castro's letter actually urged the Soviet Union to "immediately launch a nuclear attack on the United States".

"Khrushchev believed that Castro 'did not understand our intention at all'. The Soviet Union deployed missiles not to attack the United States, but to prevent the United States from attacking Cuba."

"He believed that the Soviet Union deployed missiles there to prevent the United States from attacking it, protect Cuba and defend socialism‘ It's good that he not only doesn't want to live, but also takes us in. "

"At that time, Cuban leaders really wanted to launch nuclear weapons against the United States, just because they were controlled by the Soviet army and they could not use them."

"Of course, I made such a judgment after seeing some public materials, which belongs to hindsight. But if it's a business negotiation, I still think we can have a good talk. After all, the United States is facing a local attack, while the Soviet Union is watching fire from the shore. They have a lot of cards to play. "

Mr. Liu nodded, "indeed, this is the bottom line that neither side knows the other, and the information is incomplete; In addition, Khrushchev was too impatient, which made the Soviet Union lose everything. He made such a good start in vain. "

The old comrade with a flat head nodded, "I really lost the ugliness of a big country. However, they are OK. They are brave after knowing their shame. Now they have developed to be able to fight against the United States. It is still unknown who will win or lose in the future. "

Mr. Zhang asked with a smile, "Jianhua, who do you think will win and lose in the future?"

Long Jianhua is afraid to answer such questions.

He knows the development track, but he can't say it clearly.

After hesitating for a while, he said, "I have been to West Berlin and saw with my own eyes an East Berlin man hiding in the trunk of a West Berlin car break through and enter West Berlin;"

"At that time, I heard a story from Chinese predecessors. Someone dug a hole from East Berlin to West Berlin, and finally 57 people fled East Berlin; In addition, every year, many people want to climb over the Berlin Wall, some have been arrested, and some have successfully climbed into West Berlin. "

"When I was in the hotel, I saw many people in East Berlin standing outside the warning area, looking straight at the direction of West Berlin; On the other side of West Berlin, many people shouted their names across the street. "

After hearing this, the meeting room was silent.

After a few minutes, a cloth chief said to himself, "no, dongjiemaoni is the most developed socialist country."

No one responded.

After a while, the old comrade with flat head said, "so do we. Before the reform and opening up, people fleeing Hong Kong could not be stopped; Now, this phenomenon is basically eliminated. Especially after the establishment of the special zone, many people went there to work, and few of them had such thoughts again. "

Turning to long Jianhua, "you said, if you use the way of negotiation, what should you say?"

He said with a smile, "it's not easy to use negotiation. It can be explained by opportunity cost. Their home is here and their acquaintances are here. Although the salary there is higher, the family relationship will be separated. In addition, the salary in the special zone is not bad; They calculated their gains and losses, so they did not escape. "

The old comrade with a flat head waved his hand, "I heard you said what chicken skin ace in the United States can show the way. Is it so magical?"

He said with a smile, "during the Vietnam War, rice military ordinary bombs bombed the Qinghua bridge in North Vietnam for four years. During this period, hundreds of aircraft were dispatched and more than a dozen were hit down by ground air defense fire, but the Qinghua bridge was as solid as gold; In 72, they used F4 ghost bombers to throw five gem road laser bombs from a long distance, basically destroying the bridge. "

"If we install chips on the missile and use satellites to provide the exact location of the bridge, I estimate that two or three bombs with that power can be solved. The bridge collapsed and people's planes couldn't be found. "

"There is another possibility that people launch at sea under the guidance of satellites, which simply can't organize effective defense."

Looking at the surprised faces of a group of people, he sighed secretly.

At this time, only the United States and several European countries are studying such a way of fighting. Otherwise, the picture of the United States' military action against Sadam in January 1991 can't shock the whole world. It's watching science fiction movies.

Looking at their expressions, he sighed silently in his heart. I can only do this